jlerollblues on Science and surprisingly related topics

  This is NOT a normal forecast, it is an uncalibrated training run "straight out of the box". In this run a 50% new booster compliance is assumed with a normalized rollout delivery rate. Recent wastewater data has indicated an upcoming surge. The model captures this likely mini surge. It is too early for the new booster to have a significant impact but over the course of the next few months it is likely having an effect. A few of caveats, this is a training run for the model ensemble, does not include "spreader" events, and does not have BA.4.6 or BA.2.75 variants. As indicated in the article below, the BA.4/5 subvariants exhibit nearly a 2 fold increase in evading immunity. First, the training will be completed with these variants and spreader events, and then sensitivity simulations with/without the n ew booster added.These will all be posted sometime tomorrow/Monday with state forecasts and animations.This MAPS version has a new reinfection algorithm that is mu...

  9-5-2022: Wow, what a week of exciting science news. Most of it inspires, some of it depresses. Let us start off with a mind bender. Here kitty kitty: This is an excellent summary. In a nutshell entanglement is a measure of separate entities sharing a quantum state. What is wild is that you can measure one entity by itself, the process of measuring these alters both. We are not talking about scales on the atomic level, it has now been seen in objects separated by 12km (I think that is the distance, not important to get the exact number).  Basically what you measure is the correlation between the two.  Which brings us to this mind bender. Up until now it has been experimentally shown for basic elementary quantum particles. Not anymore. As articulated below things are not just black and white, in the quantum world they can be both at the same time. When thinking about this behavior my mind wanders into so many realms. For example, could this be the beginning of understand...